Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 11.034232 12.736123 14.556587 16.642386 18.959526 21.448136 24.316298
2025-01-12 8.871119 11.099616 13.632159 16.701334 20.297138 24.353169 29.249824
2025-01-19 7.415995 9.941072 12.960561 16.791952 21.475410 26.964252 33.829586
2025-01-26 6.515702 9.273505 12.718438 17.261364 23.011567 29.961510 38.901852
2025-02-02 5.762379 8.666430 12.440951 17.592503 24.315267 32.659549 43.652997
2025-02-09 5.033387 7.985480 11.971043 17.589204 25.130980 34.721568 47.631957
2025-02-16 4.195105 7.042171 11.041525 16.869069 24.918351 35.404653 49.823400
2025-02-23 3.651964 6.455078 10.536346 16.660792 25.333956 36.871332 53.025520
2025-03-02 3.137003 5.844911 9.932792 16.249063 25.415306 37.857585 55.584407
2025-03-09 2.758824 5.402592 9.530741 16.082897 25.804779 39.242911 58.687078
2025-03-16 2.381879 4.914377 9.009712 15.690584 25.827773 40.096079 61.060128
2025-03-23 2.151502 4.648170 8.810762 15.763422 26.515514 41.881802 64.749810
2025-03-30 1.912337 4.339850 8.519981 15.675864 26.961490 43.343750 68.042602
2025-04-06 1.750175 4.153568 8.414140 15.868804 27.830022 45.430449 72.265980
2025-04-13 1.597286 3.965366 8.286624 16.011794 28.617031 47.410437 76.376425
2025-04-20 1.509789 3.896454 8.360518 16.487070 29.934833 50.204361 81.725734
2025-04-27 1.409108 3.787435 8.351375 16.815940 31.024875 52.679522 86.659137
2025-05-04 1.275046 3.589379 8.160656 16.816650 31.578401 54.349844 90.434455
2025-05-11 1.073552 3.211768 7.596634 16.123450 30.959291 54.196624 91.474384
2025-05-18 0.950204 2.994415 7.321200 15.923160 31.138484 55.268480 94.365539
2025-05-25 0.821482 2.742794 6.953087 15.526294 30.961164 55.765533 96.380884
2025-06-01 0.728969 2.566499 6.721814 15.366145 31.174486 56.876333 99.350550
2025-06-08 0.628881 2.351985 6.388659 14.987893 30.986322 57.329310 101.300014